TORONTO – Ontario’s new $14 per hour minimum wage does not take effect until Jan. 1, but Chris Stevens has already taken steps to ensure his restaurant can afford the added expense.
The co-owner of Kaboom Chicken in Toronto’s Leslieville neighbourhood has raised menu prices in anticipation of the wage hike. He and his business partner also plan to reduce their staff’s hours in the new year and take on more of the work themselves in order to save money.
New Year’s Day marks the first of two scheduled hikes, with the second to take place on Jan. 1, 2019, when the minimum wage will go up to $15. After that, it will be adjusted to keep pace with inflation.
READ MORE: 60% of Ontarians support $15 minimum wage, poll finds
The Ontario government says the change will bring greater purchasing power for working families and a stronger economy overall, but many small business owners across the province are wondering how they will maintain profits in the face of increasing payroll costs.
“It’s hard to see a way that you can lose that much of your revenue in a short period of time without having to revamp a lot of things – either letting staff go, doing a lot of the work yourself, raising prices,” Stevens said.
“We believe the minimum wage should go up and people should make a living wage, however I think (the hike) puts the onus on small businesses,” he added.
Dan Rishworth’s Toronto bicycle shop, Enduro Sport, employs seven permanent, full-time staff members and hires several young people as seasonal workers each summer when business picks up. The minimum wage increase could result in the store hiring fewer summer workers from now on, Rishworth said.
READ MORE: Ontario’s minimum wage increase and other legal changes take effect Jan. 1
“I think at this point we’re not going to hire six summer people any longer, we’re going to hire only three or four,” he said.
The increase in payroll will also result in upper-level staff receiving fewer or smaller raises, Rishworth added.
“And I’m anticipating that (more senior) staff who are already getting $15 an hour are going to expect to get $17 or $18 or more because minimum wage is approaching $15,” he said.
The Financial Accountability Office of Ontario – an independent watchdog agency that reports to the provincial legislature – has estimated that the minimum wage hikes could result in a loss of 50,000 jobs as employers struggle to keep up with staffing costs.
“Some businesses will attempt to reduce expenses by substituting minimum wage employees for higher paid, more productive workers or by increasing automation,” the agency said in a report released in September. “This would lead to some job losses for minimum-wage workers.”
But the higher minimum wage would also increase consumer spending, “stimulate economic activity and lead to job creation (that could) offset some of the loss in employment,” it said.
READ MORE: Ontario passes labour reform bill, minimum wage rises to $15 in 2019
Ontario Minister of Labour Kevin Flynn said last week that he doesn’t believe the “doom and gloom” predictions about rising minimum wage hurting businesses or leading to unemployment.
“We’ve raised minimum wage 70 per cent since 2003 and we’ve seen increased employment right through that period,” Flynn said at a news conference.
“I think we’ve proven we can work with small business. We are lowering the tax rate, we’re lowering the burden on small business so we’re asking them to play a part here,” he added, referencing the Liberal government’s elimination of the capital tax for businesses, and reduced income tax rates for small businesses.
“This money is going to go right back into Main Street, it’s going to go right back into the mom and pop businesses that â€¦ are concerned,” the minister added. “(But) it’s going to take an adjustment…It’s going to take a change.”
READ MORE: $15 minimum wage could cost Ontario economy up to 90,000 jobs by 2020: TD Bank report
In June, over 50 economists at universities across Canada co-wrote an open letter supporting Ontario’s $15 minimum wage plan, in part, they said, because higher wages make for a stronger economy.
“As those with lower incomes spend more of what they earn than do those with higher incomes, raising the minimum wage could play a role in economic revival,” the economists wrote.
“For years, we have heard that raising the minimum wage will kill jobs, raise prices and cause businesses to flee Ontario. This is fear-mongering that is out of line with the latest economic research.”
But some small-business owners are skeptical they’ll see a financial benefit.
Stevens said there is no guarantee the higher minimum wage will lead to more money being spent, particularly at restaurants and bars.
“What are you giving them more money for? Is it so that they can go to restaurants and spend money and have a nightlife, or to put food on the table and pay the rent?” he said.
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